Our Preview of the Fall Marathon Season: From Berlin to New York

By Jörg Wenig

Haile Gebrselassie and Patrick Makau in Berlin
Will Liliya Shobukhova Achieve the Three-Peat in Chicago?
The Defending Champions Return to New York
Selected Autumn Races

The start of the 2010 Chicago Marathon. © www.photorun.net
The start of the 2010 Chicago Marathon. © www.photorun.net

The fall marathon season officially gets under way this Sunday with the sound of the starting gun at the BMW Berlin Marathon—and this year, the German capital will provide the stage for some truly exciting duels. At the starting line will be both the men’s and women’s world-record holders in the marathon—Haile Gebrselassie of Ethiopia and Paula Radcliffe of Great Britain—as well as Germany’s Irina Mikitenko. But Berlin is not the only race loaded with talent and in fact, several of the fall marathons have the potential to lower world records. Berlin is just the first of three World Marathon Majors (‘WMM’) events, with Chicago following, two weeks later on October 9, and then New York City on November 6.

Despite the focus on the elites, participation in these WMM events has become so popular that their massive fields are filled quickly. In Berlin, for example, all 40,000 entries were sold out by March—a stunning new record.

The best marathoners from around the world—dominated as usual by those from East African countries like Ethiopia and Kenya—will be battling each other over the classic 26.2-miles. Big-city streets will be lined with hundreds of thousands of cheering spectators, and millions more will watch the races unfold on their televisions as well as on the internet.

Just ten years ago, the dream of the world’s best was to run under 2:05 hours. Paul Tergat of Kenya was the first to achieve it in 2003 when he won the Berlin Marathon in 2:04:55. Today, the depth of talent is so incredibly strong that the sub-2:05 mark has been cracked no fewer than 15 times. Amazingly, one third of these times were run this spring. At this year’s Boston Marathon, Geoffrey Mutai of Kenya crossed the finish line in 2:03:02 hours—the fastest marathon ever run. Just four seconds behind, on his marathon debut, was fellow Kenyan Moses Mosop.

Despite Geoffrey Mutai’s impressive performance, the official world record (2:03:59) still belongs to Haile Gebrselassie, who set it three years ago in Berlin. Boston has an elevation drop of 139 meters and a point-to-point course, so it cannot be recognized for national or world records. (The rules state that a maximum gradient of one meter per kilometer is allowed and start and finish lines cannot be apart more than 50 percent of the total distance.) But anyone familiar with Boston will know that its formidable late-in-the-race hills make it hardly an easy course.

It Is World-Record Holder Versus Defending Champion in Berlin

Haile Gebrselassie is hoping to use the Berlin Marathon to qualify for the Olympics. © www.photorun.net
Haile Gebrselassie is hoping to use the Berlin Marathon to qualify for the Olympics. © www.photorun.net

Berlin kicks off the season on Sunday with a fascinating duel between Patrick Makau and Haile Gebrselassie. Defending champion Patrick Makau could present a major challenge for the world-record holder. In 2010, he improved his personal best to 2:04:48 in rainy conditions, becoming the fastest marathoner of the year. With a time like this, he stands a good chance of breaking the world record. The question is whether this is possible in a race against the likes of Haile Gebrselassie, and the two men are expected to lead the field alongside a number of pacemakers. It is unlikely that the race will be tactical early on since an added inducement to both runners is they need a world-class time to make their respective countries’ 2012 Olympic teams. Only three spots are available per country, and the competition for these coveted slots is understandably so fierce in Kenya that a time of 2:05 may hardly suffice.

The women’s field on Sunday is one of the deepest in the 37-year history of the Berlin Marathon, which began in the Grunewald forest in 1974. For the first time in her professional career, world-record holder Paula Radcliffe will participate in a German road race. She has not competed in a marathon since November 2009 when she placed fourth in New York. She has been sidelined by injuries as well as a planned hiatus to have her second child in September 2010.

Paula Radcliffe makes her comeback on Sunday. © www.photorun.net
Paula Radcliffe makes her comeback on Sunday. © www.photorun.net

When asked about her goals in Berlin, Paula had this to say: “It is always my aim to win. But it is too early now to speak about time goals. We will set these before the race, when we know how all the training went. The main thing for me is to stay healthy and run this marathon without problems.”

It is possible that the 37-year-old will set herself a target time of 2:20 provided she gets good weather conditions—and it will be interesting to see to what extent Irina Mikitenko can challenge her. The 2010 half-marathon champion, Florence Kiplagat, will also be a factor in the race: The Kenyan runner had to drop out during her marathon debut this spring in Boston, but showed good form during the summer. She won a half marathon at the Wörthersee (Austria) with a time of 68:02 minutes in hot temperatures. In all, eight runners in Berlin’s women’s elite field have personal bests of under 2:28—and six of them are under 2:26.

Will Liliya Shobukhova Achieve the Three-Peat in Chicago?

Moses Mosop plans to chase the world record in Chicago. © www.photorun.net
Moses Mosop plans to chase the world record in Chicago. © www.photorun.net

The organizers of the Bank of America Chicago Marathon always set the stage for a possible world-record attempt. This year they are pinning their hopes on Kenya’s Moses Mosop who made a spectacular debut in Boston this spring with a time of 2:03:06. America’s Ryan Hall, who had a strong race in Boston as well (finishing fourth in 2:04:58), would like to improve the American record of 2:05:38, which was set by Khalid Khannouchi nine years ago in London—a world record at the time. “I am excited to line up at the Chicago Marathon,” said Ryan Hall, whose start in the ‘Windy City’ will be a first. “Every time I race against a world-class field I learn more about myself and continue to evolve as an athlete.”

In the women’s competition, defending champion Liliya Shobukhova of Russia returns and is considered to be again a major contender. If she retains her crown, she would be the first to win the race three times in a row and would also take the WMM-series for the second consecutive time. The Russian champion has stated that she wants to run sub-2:20 in Chicago, but a men’s or women’s champion has yet to achieve the three-peat in Chicago. Khalid Khannouchi has won the race four times, but that was over a period of six years.

“These athletes round out an elite field that is not only dynamic, but has the potential to attack the record books. If the weather is good, there could be some reshuffling of not just the Bank of America Chicago Marathon records, but also the list of all-time fastest certified marathons,” said executive race director Carey Pinkowski.

Gebre Gebremariam and Edna Kiplagat Return to New York

The 2011 London Marathon champions, Emmanuel Mutai and Mary Keitany, will be at the starting line of the New York City Marathon. © www.photorun.net
The 2011 London Marathon champions, Emmanuel Mutai and Mary Keitany, will be at the starting line of the New York City Marathon. © www.photorun.net

The organizers of the ING New York City Marathon have already signed a number of high-profile elite runners, including defending champion Gebre Gebremariam (Ethiopia) and Edna Kiplagat (Kenya). Boston winners Geoffrey Mutai and Caroline Kilel as well as the London champions Emmanuel Mutai and Mary Keitany (all from Kenya) will also join the race. “The field is going to be Blockbuster strong,” said race director Mary Wittenberg. However, due to its challenging course, a new world record is not expected there. On November 6, an estimated 45,000 participants will make their way from the New Yorker district Staten Island to Central Park.

Round-Up of Autumn Marathon Dates

 25 September  Berlin
 2 October Cologne
 9 October Chicago
  Eindhoven
  Munich
 16 October Amsterdam
  Beijing
 23 October Venice
 30 October Frankfurt
 6 November New York
  Seoul
 13 November Athens
  Turin
 4 December Fukuoka (Men’s-only elite race)
  Singapore

Dates and Leading Runners of Selected Autumn Races

Berlin (9/25)

World Marathon Majors (WMM) Race
IAAF Gold Label Race
Entries: 40,000
Entries still possible: No
Website: www.bmw-berlin-marathon.com
TV: Live on n-tv, Eurosport, and BBC2 as well as live-stream in internet (www.universalsports.com)

Prize Money: 40,000 Euro
Total Prize Money (not counting time bonuses): 233,000 Euro

Course Records:
2:03:59—Haile Gebrselassie (ETH) WR
2:19:12—Mizuki Noguchi (JPN)

Elite athletes and their personal bests:
Men: Haile Gebrselassie (ETH/2:03:59), Patrick Makau (KEN/2:04:48), Driss El Himer (FRA/2:06:48), Hendrick Ramaala (RSA/2:06:55), Simon Munyutu (KEN/2:09:24), Jon Kyui (KEN/2:10:00), Emmanuel Samal (KEN/2:10:27), Mikhail Lemaev (RUS/2:10:41), Falk Cierpinski (SG Spergau/2:13:30), Martin Beckmann (LG Leinfelden-Echterdingen/2:13:42).
Women: Paula Radcliffe (GBR/2:15:25), Irina Mikitenko (SC Gelnhausen/2:19:19), Lidia Simon (RUM/2:22:54), Atsede Habtamu (ETH/2:24:26), Lidiya Grigoryeva (RUS/2:25:10), Tatyana Petrova (RUS/2:25:53), Rosaria Console (ITA/2:26:45), Anna Incerti (ITA/2:27:33), Florence Kiplagat (KEN/dropped out at debut).

Chicago (10/9)

World Marathon Majors (WMM) Race
IAAF Gold Label Race
Entries: 45,000
Entries still possible: No
Website: www.chicagomarathon.com
TV: NBC5 Chicago and live-stream in internet (nbcchicago.com)

Prize Money: 125,000 US-Dollars
Total Prize Money (not counting time bonuses): 485,000 US-Dollars

Course Records:
2:05:41—Sammy Wanjiru (KEN)
2:17:18—Paula Radcliffe (GBR)

Elite athletes and their personal bests:
Men: Moses Mosop (KEN/2:03:06), Ryan Hall (USA/2:04:58), Bazu Worku (ETH/2:05:25), Getu Feleke (ETH/2:05:44), Evans Cheruiyot (KEN/2:06:25), Marilson dos Santos (BRA/2:06:34), Bernard Kipyego (KEN/2:07:01), Bekana Daba (ETH/2:07:04), Atsushi Sato (JPN/2:07:13), Joshua Chelenga (KEN/2:08:21), Wesley Korir (KEN/2:08:24).
Women: Liliya Shobukhova (RUS/2:20:15), Askale Tafa (ETH/2:21:31), Inga Abitova (RUS/2:22:19), Benita Willis (AUS/2:22:36), Wie Yanan (CHN/2:23:12), Maria Konovalova (RUS/2:23:49), Christelle Daunay (FRA/2:24:22).

Amsterdam (10/16)

IAAF Silver Label Race
Entries: about 10,000
Entries still possible: No
Website: www.tcsamsterdammarathon.nl

Prize Money: not known

Course Records:
2:06:18—Gilbert Yegon (KEN)
2:22:20—Gete Wami (ETH)

Elite athletes and their personal bests:
Men: Koen Raymaekers (NED/2:11:09). Women: Lornah Kiplagat (NED/2:22:22)—others at present unknown.

Frankfurt (10/30)

IAAF Gold Label Race
Entries: approx. 14,000
Entries still possible: Yes
Website: www.bmw-frankfurt-marathon.com
TV: Live on hr and live-stream in internet

Prize Money: 20,000 Euro
Total Prize Money (not counting time bonuses): 116,500 Euro

Course Records:
2:04:57—Wilson Kipsang (KEN)
2:23:25—Caroline Kilel (KEN)

Elite athletes and their personal bests (at the time of going to press):
Men: Wilson Kipsang (KEN/2:04:57), Robert Kiprono Cheruiyot (KEN/2:05:52), Gilbert Kirwa (KEN/2:06:14), Deriba Merga (ETH/2:06:38), Wilfred Kigen (KEN/2:07:33), Günther Weidlinger (AUT/2:10:47), André Pollmächer (Rhein-Marathon Düsseldorf/2:13:09), Jan Fitschen (TV Wattenscheid/2:20:15).
Women: Sabrina Mockenhaupt (LG Sieg/2:26:21), Liz Yelling (GBR/2:28:33), Aniko Kalovics (HUN/2:29:04), Kirsten Melkevik (NOR/2:29:12), Susanne Hahn (SV schlau.com Saarbrücken/2:29:26), Andrea Mayr (AUT/2:30:43)—others at present unknown.

New York (11/6)

World Marathon Majors (WMM) Race
IAAF Gold Label Race
Entries: approx. 45,000
Entries still possible: No
Website: www.ingnycmarathon.org
TV: Live on Eurosport and NBC4 New York as well as live-stream in internet (www.univeralsports.com)

Prize Money: 130,000 US-Dollars
Total Prize Money (not counting time bonuses): 800,000 US-Dollars

Course Records:
2:07:43—Tesfaye Jifar (ETH)
2:22:31—Margaret Okayo (KEN)

Elite athletes and their personal bests (at the time of going to press):
Men: Geoffrey Mutai (KEN/2:03:02), Emmanuel Mutai (KEN/2:04:40), Gebre Gebremariam (ETH/2:04:53), Martin Lel (KEN/2:05:15), Jaouad Gharib (MAR/2:05:27), Viktor Röthlin (SUI/2:07:23), Meb Keflezighi (USA/2:09:15).
Women: Mary Keitany (KEN/2:19:19), Edna Kiplagat (KEN/2:20:46), Caroline Kilel (Kenya/2:23:25), Kim Smith (NZL/2:25:21), Jo Pavey (GBR/2:28:24), Lauren Fleshman (USA/Debut)—others at present unknown.

The Ten Fastest Marathons in History*

Men:

 2:03:02 Hours   Geoffrey Mutai KEN Boston (USA) 04.18.2011 
 2:03:06 Moses Mosop ETH Boston (USA) 04.18.2011
 2:03:59 Haile Gebrselassie ETH Berlin (GER) 09.28.2008
 2:04:26 Haile Gebrselassie ETH Berlin (GER) 09.30.2007
 2:04:27 Duncan Kibet KEN Rotterdam (NED)  04.05.2009
 2:04:27 James Kwambai KEN Rotterdam (NED) 05.04.2009
 2:04:40 Emmanuel Mutai KEN London (GBR) 04.17.2011
 2:04:48 Patrick Makau KEN Rotterdam (NED) 04.11.2010
 2:04:53 Haile Gebrselassie ETH Dubai (UAE) 01.18.2011
 2:04:53 Gebre Gebremariam  ETH  Boston (USA) 04.18.2011

Women:

 2:15:25 Hours  Paula Radcliffe              GBR  London (GBR)      04.13.2003 
 2:17:18 Paula Radcliffe GBR Chicago (USA) 10.13.2002
 2:17:42 Paula Radcliffe GBR London (GBR) 04.17.2005
 2:18:47 Catherine Ndereba     KEN Chicago (USA) 10.07.2001
 2:18:56 Paula Radcliffe GBR London (GBR) 04.14.2002
 2:19:12 Mizuki Noguchi JPN Berlin (GER) 09.25.2005
 2:19:19 Irina Mikitenko GER Berlin (GER) 09.28.2008
 2:19:19 Mary Keitany KEN London (GBR) 04.17.2011
 2:19:26 Catherine Ndereba  KEN Chicago (USA)  10.13.2002
 2:19:36 Deena Kastor USA London (GBR) 04.23.2006

*The Boston Marathon has an elevation drop of 139 meters and a point-to-point course, so it cannot be recognized for national or world records. The rules state that a maximum gradient of one meter per kilometer is allowed and start and finish lines cannot be apart more than 50 percent of the total distance.

World Marathon Majors (WMM)
2010-2011* Standings

Men:

 1. Emmanuel Mutai KEN 55 Points 
 2. Tsegaye Kebede ETH 41
 3. Geoffrey Mutai KEN 40
 4. Patrick Makau KEN 35
  Gebre Gebremariam ETH 35
 6. Abel Kirui KEN 26
 7.  Robert Kiprono Cheruiyot KEN  25
  Samuel Wanjiru (passed away in May)  KEN 25
 9. Feyisa Lilesa ETH 20
 10. Vincent KiprutoKEN16

Women:

 1.  Liliya Shobukhova  RUS 65 Points 
 2. Edna Kiplagat KEN 60
 3. Mary Keitany KEN 35
 4. Bezunesh Bekele ETH 30
 5. Aberu Kebede ETH 25
  Teyba Erkesso ETH 25
  Caroline Kilel KEN 25
 8. Inga Abitova RUS 20
  Desiree Davila USA 20
  Sharon Cherop KEN  20

*A WMM Series takes place over a two-year cycle. The one million dollar prize money is divided equally between the two overall winners. The first five finishers of each WMM race are awarded points with the winners receiving 25 points.